◆Educational research

SuperEzio research / Evidence

SuperEzio — Mathematical evidence

Technical evidence is published in English.

An educational research system for learning how market data becomes a qualified decision. Its 14 mathematical modules report what worked, lacked data or failed on each run; six expert roles provide structured perspectives. The diagram below shows the real boundaries. This is support for human analysis, with no verified investment returns or autonomous trading claim.

◆System map
SuperEzio system map, from question to human review
Architecture verified in code. The map does not imply that every module succeeds in every run or that a real-money order can execute.
SuperEzio cockpit with TD.TO chart, historical browser capture
Local cockpit captured 23 August 2026. Historical interface image; quoted market values are from that session and do not prove current connectivity, investment returns or an executed order.
◆sections

Start with a question, end with a human decision

The local cockpit collects dated market data and fundamentals, calculates risk and scenario measures, obtains six specialist views and lets Bob explain the evidence and its limits. The operator reviews any action. TD orders remain manual; a gated IBKR simulation path is separate from real-money execution, which is frozen.

Audience
Students and independent researchers learning to inspect financial decisions
Local API
127.0.0.1:8002; authenticated operator configuration
Decision boundary
Research and explanation only; no proven investment result

The 14 mathematical modules

MathHub registers 14 modules in src/core/math/math_hub.py. Its coverage object counts successful, skipped or insufficient-data, and error results for every analysis. Registration is not proof that all 14 produced a valid number in any given question. Tests validate calculations and selected edge cases with local fixtures.

ModuleWhat it calculates or checksEvidence and condition
price_seriesPrice series, latest price and dated candlesMathHub; needs usable prices
technical_indicatorsSMA, EMA, RSI, MACD, bands and volume measurestest_math.py; needs price/volume history
return_metricsObserved and annualized return, volatilitytest_math.py; needs at least two closes
sharpe_sortinoRisk-adjusted return estimatestest_math.py; needs return series
drawdownLargest decline on the observed curvetest_math.py; needs price history
var_cvarHistorical loss quantile and tail averagetest_math.py; depends on observed returns
kellySizing estimate from wins and lossestest_math.py; skipped without both outcomes
dcf_proxyCash-flow valuation proxytest_math_hub.py; skipped without cash flow or shares
crisis_aggregateAggregated crisis signalstest_crisis.py; reports input and status limits
return_bootstrapScenarios resampled from observed returnstest_math_hub.py; needs 10 observed returns
portfolio_hrpHierarchical risk-parity allocationtest_portfolio.py; requires return histories
f51_unifiedDecision score, when supplied after expert stagetest_math_hub.py; skipped at pre-expert stage
penny_momentumMomentum screen for small-cap seriestest_math_hub.py; needs ticker and 20 dated candles
trading_lossesExpected versus actual return lossestests/contracts/test_trading_losses.py; skipped without both series

Controls and reproducible checks

The six expert roles return structured outputs. The committee status now distinguishes complete, partial and failed participation. F51, neural assessment, SDCA and guardrails add constraints, but some remain observational; their presence is not evidence of a final stop in every path. The official TD list was compared with the local 108-symbol manifest on 4 October 2026; a broker order preview remains decisive for eligibility and fees.

Committee roles
Macro, fundamental, momentum, contrarian, sentiment, social
SDCA
Observe mode by default; graph stop requires explicit enablement
Trading
TD manual; real-money execution frozen
No performance claim
No independently verified investment return or predictive accuracy

Verification record — 4 October 2026

A local automated full-suite run after the maintenance fixes passed; it tests code behaviour, not a live broker transaction or financial outcome. A separate authenticated end-to-end demonstration with external model and market-data services remains to be recorded.

Automated suite
3,150 passed · 10 skipped · 1 deselected · 0 failed; full local run, 4 October 2026
MathHub tests
Local fixtures cover module reporting, date handling, bootstrap and missing-data behaviour
Official TD table
108 symbols matched locally on 4 October 2026
Runtime
SuperEzio API and bridge were not listening during the audit
◆documents
TD Direct Investing: Select Commission-Free ETFs

Official list checked against the 108-symbol local manifest on 4 October 2026. Eligibility and fees require confirmation in the TD order preview.

◆missing

What we could not verify

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